Michael Mayer and Dalton Kincaid look like a tier above the rest but Jason’s advice was to let others make that mistake this early and instead swing for the fences late (4th round or free agent?) at the position. Often we find TEs with draft capital don’t necessarily match that within the first couple of years. Over the last decade, 143 different TEs were taken in rookie drafts with only five real hits in rookie drafts. The advice may sound a bit dogmatic but he had the data to back it up. Jason shared his advice on the recent Dynasty Podcast: don’t draft rookie TEs! Period.Jaylen Waddle was recently pushed down the board in 2021 for players (both RBs & WRs) with seemingly better opportunities. The draft capital associated with these players is going to determine much of the order but my research on rookie drafts has revealed that managers tend to value immediate opportunity over talent/draft capital. The end of the first round is going to be a logjam of WRs. I could see him fall into the late 1st/early 2nd of SuperFlex drafts as other players ( Kendre Miller? Devon Achane?) potentially could be selected ahead of him in the NFL Draft. Some of those landing spots are better than others in terms of immediate contribution but this is a classic example of a player we liked pre-draft process but might need to adjust after the NFL Draft. He did have team visits with CHI, BUF, TB, LAC, DAL, LV, and a private workout with SF. Charbonnet is not a sure thing to be selected in the 2nd round. Jahmyr Gibbs and Zach Charbonnet are seen as a tier break from the rest of the RBs… but does the NFL feel that way? Gibbs has the highest odds (-2000) to be the 2nd RB selected and we took a recent long shot wager on his landing spot if you’re interested.We discussed Richardson at length on Wednesday’s Fantasy Footballers Dynasty podcast. I wrote his Rookie Profile giving Vince Young as a median comp: physical tools, insane rushing as a rookie, won Rookie of the Year, and quickly flamed out as a starter before seeing his 2nd contract. The accuracy concerns are certainly a major red flag along with only starting 13 games. If he runs like we think he could as a goal-line specialist, you’re looking at fantasy gold. Anthony Richardson going ahead of the other QBs shouldn’t be a hot take.Jaxon Smith-Njigba is our clear WR1 in this class and while QBs are usually pushed up the board in SuperFlex, he is certainly deserving of being a top 3/4 pick for teams that are already set at the QB position. The news cycle recently has soured on this notion. Much of this is dependent on the assumption that these four QBs are selected in the top-5 of the NFL Draft. Four QBs in the first five picks is aggressive, to say the least.
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